Wisconsin GOP Sen. Ron Johnson defeated Democratic Lt. Gov. It continued, labeling Barnes as a "socialist who wants to fundamentally transform America. Leaders expect it to keep growing. This race is over," Johnson said in the statement. "In 2016, they were almost all wrong and Ron Johnson pulled off the biggest surprise in Wisconsin Political History," said the statement. Wisconsin has been viewed as a swing state in recent elections but has generally gone for Democratic presidential candidates in elections going back to 1988. Meanwhile, 7 percent said they did not know who they would vote for, while 3 percent said they would vote for someone else, would not vote or refused to answer. or redistributed. As a senator, Johnson co-sponsored theLife at Conception Act enshrining a right to life or the right to life of each born and preborn human person in the Constitution and allowing equal protections at the moment of fertilization. However, he also said during the campaign that he would support a recently offered proposal to create a single-issue referendum that would allow Wisconsin voters to decide on the future of abortion rights in the state. He said residents should also expect "a new low" in terms of how negative campaign ads will be this election cycle. That number had fallen to 9 percent in Marquette's Aug. 17 poll. Legal Statement. It's official: Mandela Barnes has the best chance of anyone in this Senate primary to defeat Ron Johnson. In 2020, now-President Joe Biden won Wisconsin by roughly 20,000 votes out of nearly 3.3 million ballots cast. Baldwin was first elected to the Senate in 2012 and took office in January 2013. Marquette polled 801 registered voters via phone interviews from Oct. 3-9 (652 of those are considered likely voters), with more than half of the interviews coming before last Friday's debate. Independent candidate Joan Beglinger who ended her campaign in September but will still be on the ballot garnered 4% in the poll, while 1% of respondents said they were undecided. The race between Johnson and Barnes was rated as "tilt Republican" by Inside Elections, a "toss-up" by The Cook Political Report, and "leans Republican" by Sabato's Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Center for Politics. 'The most vulnerable Republican incumbent' The Barnes strategy is to define Johnson as a changed man, someone who went to Washington as an insurgent candidate but then enmeshed himself into the. 2023 FOX News Network, LLC. In a general election match up, Mandela beats Ron Johnson by 2 points, more than any of his opponents. Mandela Barnes. The Democrat became the state's first Black lieutenant governor when he took office in 2019. The CNN poll was conducted Oct. 13-17 and surveyed 905 registered Wisconsin voters, 714 of whom were likely voters. The votes are in, Johnson said in an email statement that was released before NBC News and other news outlets made the call. Mandela Barnes is maintaining a slight edge over Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson just more than two months from the November election. That poll . defeated former Democratic U.S. Sen. Russ Feingold, Democratic Lt. Gov. Tommy's Lounge, a vital lifeline to former forces personnel. 2023 by Wisconsin Public Radio, a service of the Wisconsin Educational Communications Board and the University of Wisconsin-Madison. For an optimal experience visit our site on another browser. In 2016, Trump secured just 46.5 percent of Wisconsin's votes. 2022 Wisconsin Senate Debate: Mandela Barnes vs. Ron Johnson. Mandela Barnes. All rights reserved. Johnson also holds a 2-point lead over Barnes in favorability ratings among likely voters, with 46 percent saying they have a favorable opinion of the Republican and 44 percent saying the same. As Johnson opened a lead, it sent the Republican incumbent's supporters into a frenzy. Barnes, the current lieutenant governor of Wisconsin, leads Johnson 51% to 44%, up from a narrow two-point lead he held in June, when polls showed Barnes had the support of 46% voters in. Liberal groups in Wisconsin seeking to change rules governing absentee ballots suffered a blow this week after an appeals court and a circuit judge ruled that ballots cannot contain partial addresses of witnesses. Some ads focused on positions Barnes had taken or statements he had made such as his support for ending cash bail and saying that reducing prison populations is now sexy while others made misleading claims about his tenure as the state's lieutenant governor, like accusing his administration of having paroled hundreds of violent offenders. Mutual Fund and ETF data provided by Refinitiv Lipper. All rights reserved. (Photo by Three Lions/Hulton Archive/Getty Images) OAN Deven BerryhillUPDATED 6:45 PM PT - Monday, February 27, 2023 A well-known British newspaper recently . ", Lee said the value of political polling in Wisconsin has become less predictable as the state has become more "deep purple.". Top Sheboygan officials lacked key details on police department sexual harassment probes, State lawmakers try again to allow DACA recipients to become police officers in Wisconsin, Tired of waiting, a Wisconsin island community is directing millions to create its own high-speed internet. Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson and Democratic challenger Lt. Gov. He is someone who cares about people like me." But Evers' approval rating remains above water. The new survey found Johnson up just 1 percentage point among likely Wisconsin voters, with 50 percent saying theyd learn toward the Republican if the election were held today and 49 percent saying the same of Barnes. Barnes leads Johnson with women and younger voters. What it boils down to, according to University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee emeritus professor Mordecai Lee, is "we should all just agree that this is an even race. The latest Marquette Law School poll also found the race for governor has tightened in the pivotal battleground state. The results are a jump from September, when polls showed Johnson polling just 1 percentage point ahead of Barnes, but are still within the surveys margin of sampling error. That ruling meant Wisconsins near-total abortion ban from 1849 went into effect over the summer. Home; News. Barnes' lead was within the polls' 2.9 percent margin of error. Mandela Barnes on Tuesday. Biden garnered 49.5 percent four years later. (AP Photo/Morry Gash) Among the slightly larger sample of 802 registered voters, Johnson maintains 48% support. Mandela Barnes in his bid for a third term in office. The June poll by Marquette Law School showed that Biden's approval rating is deep underwater with Wisconsin voters, which could bode poorly for Democrats in November. Barnes focused much of his closing message hammering Johnson over his opposition to abortion rights an issue Democrats across the country had hoped would energize their base in the midterms following the Supreme Courts reversal of Roe v. Wade in June. Powered and implemented by FactSet Digital Solutions. The CBS News/YouGov poll was released on Sunday. The Democrat's lead was just outside the survey's 3 percent margin of error. Governor Mandela Barnes, left and US Senator Ron Johnson participate in the senate debate co-hosted by Marquette University and TMJ4 at Marquette University's Varsity Theatre at 1326 W.. More from. Stay up to date with what you want to know. Mandela Barnes, CBS News is projecting Johnson the winner. On the other hand, Mandela Barnes said he agreed to be a part of the debate anchored by the Main Street Alliance and the Wisconsin Farmers Union because the group commonly lines up with the democrats. While Barnes quickly became a favorite among Democrats before winning the August primary, Lee said the lieutenant governor is still relatively unknown to the state as a whole. He's also been a leading skeptic of COVID-19 vaccines making false or misleading claims about the shots. Hungry? She won reelection with over 55 percent of the vote in 2018. Mandela Barnes during a debate on Oct. 7. Wisconsin's GOP senator, Ron Johnson, will face off against state Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes in November. The Wisconsin Senate candidate Mandela Barnes speaks at a rally on Saturday in Milwaukee. U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson, R-Wis., left, and his Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes shake hands before a televised debate, Friday, Oct. 7, 2022, in Milwaukee. Mandela Barnes offers his state's votes to nominate former Vice President Joe Biden as the Democratic nominee for president at the 2020 Democratic National Convention at the . In the final weeks, Johnson focused on crime in particular, unleashing a barrage of negative ads that highlighted rising crime rates and singling out things Barnes had said about criminal justice reform. MILWAUKEE A new Marquette Law School Poll survey of Wisconsin voters finds close races for governor and for the U.S. Senate. The Oshkosh Republican led Barnes, a Democrat, 51% to 46% among likely voters in a poll commissioned by AARP. Johnson was also significantly underwater with 47 percent of voters expressing an unfavorable opinion of the senator and 38 percent saying they had a favorable opinion. 4:12. Barnes made an early bet to run as a progressive and largely did not move to the center. Ron Johnson (R-WI) and his Democratic challenger, Lt. Gov. Vote preference includes those who say they are undecided but who say they lean toward a candidate. He said the August polling results from multiple sources show him "this is a very competitive race and Democrats have a compelling opportunity to unseat Ron Johnson.". Barnes, 35, has seen his chances of unseating Sen. Johnson shrink by the day as crime becomes the central focus of their Senate race Ron Johnson Dramatically Underperforms in First Finance Report Since Announcing for Reelection - Lt. Gov. Johnson and Barnes spent much of their first televised debate, held on Friday, discussing abortion and crime. Johnson is running for reelection to a third term, while Barnes hopes to topple the GOP. In the September survey, Johnsons lead among that group was 48% to 46%. Barnes enjoyed a 4-point lead over Johnson if the election were held today among all registered voters, and a 2-point lead in favorability. Quotes displayed in real-time or delayed by at least 15 minutes. Mandela Barnes, the lieutenant governor of . When results started trickling in around 8:30 p.m. Tuesday, Barnes took an early lead over Johnson, but the Republican slowly closed the gap as more of the state's precincts reported. Well over half (57 percent) of voters in the state said they disapproved of the job Biden is doing as president, and only 40 percent approved. By clicking Sign up, you agree to receive marketing emails from Insider He pulled ahead of Barnes in recent polling after a September onslaught of negative ads that painted Barnes as a soft-on-crime, radical liberal. Johnson maintained a conservative voting record during his two terms in the Senate. On Jan. 9, he announced a run for a third term, stating his decision to do so was based on a belief that "America is in peril. Mandela Barnes, a Democrat trailing in Wisconsin polls and getting hammered by an onslaught of negative television advertising in his race to unseat Senator Ron Johnson, a. Part of the shift can be attributed to likely independent voters. A pedestrian walks by a sign in front of a polling location on Tuesday, April 5, 2022, in Milwaukee, Wis. Angela Major/WPR. . MADISON, Wis. (AP) U.S. Senate Republican Ron Johnson and Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes got personal in their final debate Thursday before the Nov. 8 election, with each candidate . National media reports say the red wave that Republicans hoped for in this years midterm elections has been downgraded to more of a trickle. NBC News projects Sen. Ron Johnson of Wisconsin wins re-election, unrelenting attacks against Barnes on crime. Market data provided by Factset. This year, Johnson is the only incumbent Republican senator running for reelection in a state President Biden won in 2020. Mandela Barnes concedes US Senate race to Republican incumbent Ron Johnson, Sarah Godlewski exits Democratic US Senate primary, clearing the path for Mandela Barnes, After clearing Democratic field in US Senate Race, Mandela Barnes faces toughest battle of political career, Evers proposes $750M for broadband expansion amid massive federal investment in high-speed internet, Evers proposes $3.8B in state building projects. The Associated Press called the race for Johnson at 11:46 a.m. Wednesday as the senator led Barnes by 27,374 votes. With 98.91% of the vote in, Johnson had 50.5% . In the June poll released by Marquette Law School testing each candidate's strength against Johnson, Barnes hits or approaches those benchmarks, while Lasry falls far short of the numbers needed . Join half a million readers enjoying Newsweek's free newsletters. Ron Johnson's Road to Reelection Is Getting Bumpy. Through late October, super PACs, politically active nonprofit organizations, and other non-candidate groups combined to spend an additional $112.9 million advocating for or against the candidates. Supporters wait for Sen. Ron Johnson, R-Wis., to speak at an election night party in Neenah, Wis., Tuesday, Nov. 8, 2022. The lieutenant governor and former State Assembly member is expected to face a difficult campaign as he seeks to unseat Johnson, who has served in the Senate since 2011. "Barnes is really going to have to execute a strong strategy of defining himself positively and pushing back against an enormous amount of negative campaigning that is already coming his way and will surely only escalate between now and Election Day," Chergosky said. You can follow him on Twitter @timothynerozzi and can email him at timothy.nerozzi@fox.com. After Barnes won an all but uncontested U.S. Senate Democratic primary in August, the lieutenant governor led Johnson by 7 percentage points in Marquette polling. Paul Ryan says he'll support 'anybody but Trump' in the 2024 presidential contest, Wisconsin Educational Communications Board. Throughout the 2022 campaign cycle, Marquette polling showed a majority of respondents in Wisconsin had a negative view of Johnson. Due to a planned power outage on Friday, 1/14, between 8am-1pm PST, some services may be impacted. The senator has been tied to the fake elector scheme, which is being investigated by the U.S. Department of Justice, after text messages came to light showing Johnson's office tried to get slates of fake electoral ballots from Wisconsin and Michigan to former Vice President Mike Pence on Jan. 6, 2021. Barnes' campaign and allied outside Democratic groups launched a series of attacks against Johnson painting him as an out-of-touch millionaire who worked to secure tax cuts for himself and billionaire donors in 2017. Since then, Johnson has hired one of Wisconsin's 10 fake electors to work for his reelection campaign, and he's spent more than $20,000 for legal consultation with a Wisconsin law firm that assisted former President Donald Trump's efforts to overturn the state's 2020 election results. The schools previous poll, from September, showed a much tighter race, with Johnson leading Barnes 49% to 48%. 2023 FOX News Network, LLC. Follow her on Twitter: https://twitter.com/hausofcait. Ninety-three percent of Democrats support Barnes and 96 percent of Republicans support Johnson, while 96 percent of Democrats support Evers and 88 percent of Republicans support Michels. Feingold ran for his old seat in a 2016 rematch. Michels may have made gains among likely independent voters from September's poll, with 44% now saying they supported him and 43% saying they supported Evers. President Joe Biden then won Wisconsin in 2020 by the same margin, although he received a slightly higher overall percentage of the votes. The man leading the charge to unseat Johnson this year is the polar opposite of the millionaire Boomer conservative: Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes, a 35-year-old Black former community organizer. But Johnson got a majority of support from voters who thought COVID-19 restrictions in the state were too strict. Mandela Barnes, is the choice of 48%. But a successful rebrand, as well as unrelenting attacks against Barnes on crime and criminal justice issues, appeared to help Johnson's standing among voters. Sign up now! State Treasurer Sarah Godlewski followed suit on Friday, saying that the Democratic Party should be united going into the election. Johnson has long been known as a polarizing and controversial figure in politics who made headlines for pushing drugs like hydroxychloroquine and ivermectin as early treatment options during the COVID-19 pandemic. Johnson also holds a 2-point lead over Barnes in favorability ratings among likely voters, with 46 percent saying they have a favorable opinion of the Republican and 44 percent saying the same of the Democrat. The Democratic candidate hasn't found a way to respond to Senator Ron Johnson's attacks on crime, and is foundering in the polls as a result. On Sunday, the Trafalgar Group released the results of a survey of Wisconsin voters conducted between Aug. 22 and Aug. 25. Wisconsin GOP Sen. Ron Johnson is running for reelection against Democratic Lt. Gov. Among those citing integrity as most important, Barnes won 54% of the vote, while among those saying a candidate who shares values with them is most important, 60% voted for Johnson. Both politicians were backed by 43 percent of likely voters. Barnes is tied with Johnson in the head-to-head, a sign of Barnes' latest strength and indicating serious weakness on the part of the 11-year incumbent. The registered voter sample has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.6 percentage points. With less than 100 days to go before the . An older poll, conducted last September by Clarity Campaign Labs for Barnes' campaign, showed the Democrat tied with Johnson. U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson, R-Wis., left, and his Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes shake hands before a televised debate, Friday, Oct. 7, 2022, in Milwaukee. These four House Republicans broke with the GOP to oppose inflation estimates McCarthy, GOP pump brakes on release of Jan. 6 footage to Tucker Carlson, Christie: Trump grand jury foreperson did a lot of damage to case. However, the most recent polling for the race suggests that Barnes is narrowly ahead of the incumbent. It was all to play for Thursday night as Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson met Democratic challenger, Lt. Gov. Anthony Chergosky is an associate professor of political science at UW-La Crosse. Republican gubernatorial nominee Tim Michels led Democratic Gov. A Fox News survey of. The Johnson campaign said the numbers were reflective of a race that was correcting course after Democrats cleared a path for Barnes before the ends of a largely clean primary campaign. Mandela Barnes, CBS News is projecting Johnson the winner. In order to do so, the Republican-controlled state Legislature would need to pass a constitutional amendment. Morry Gash/Associated Press Now, it's Barnes who is relatively unknown among Wisconsin voters. Sign up now! Adam Edelman is a political reporter for NBC News. The new poll shows the two candidates are tied at 47%, with 4% saying they wouldn't vote for either candidate and 2% saying they didnt know yet, suggesting turnout will be key. Mandela Barnes speaks at a rally for Jacob Blake Jr., who was paralyzed in a police shooting last year, in Kenosha, Wis. Barnes is leading in the Democratic primary to replace Republican Sen. Ron Johnson. Republican U.S. Senate candidate Ron Johnson, right, and Democratic U.S. Senate candidate Mandela Barnes participate during a televised debate Thursday, Oct. 13, 2022, in Milwaukee. Barnes to overcome his 27,374 vote deficit. | Morry Gash/Associated Press. Keep updated on the latest news and information. In a possibly positive sign for Barnes, far more respondents to the poll said they viewed Johnson unfavorably. Despite it being the number one issue for voters in several recent polls, however, the candidates were not asked a direct . By comparison, 48 percent of Wisconsinites said they approved of their Democratic governor, and only 45 percent said they disapproved. Lt. Gov. The three Democrats, who had endorsed Barnes after they had. US Congress; Getty; Marianne Ayala/Insider, Sabato's Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Center for Politics. But, you know, I'm not going to declare victory until all the numbers are in. Top editors give you the stories you want delivered right to your inbox each weekday. Union rep: Employees reporting illness after working on cleanup for East School culture wars fuel top House GOP bill, Watch live: White House monkeypox response team holds briefing, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. Among likely voters, in his race for reelection, Sen. Ron Johnson, a Republican, is supported by 49%, while his Democratic opponent, Lt. Gov. The 2018 Wisconsin gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018. Barnes raised nearly $34.6 million, spent $32 million, and had almost $2.6 million in the bank, as of October 19. Sen. Ron Johnson is leading Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes in a new poll of the Wisconsin Senate race released Wednesday. Mandela Barnes on Tuesday. Most young men are single. 33. In 2016, Johnson stunned political observers when he defeated former Democratic U.S. Sen. Russ Feingold after Marquette polling in late August showed Feingold ahead by 4 percentage points. Johnson has compared the rioters to tourists and during a presentation to Milwaukee Rotary Club in early October, Johnson said calling the attack an armed insurrection is inaccurate. Johnson maintained a conservative voting record during his two terms in the Senate. Wisconsin Republican Sen. Ron Johnson and Lt. Gov. He said the best way to do that would be by allowing Wisconsinites to settle the abortion issue via a direct referendum. For an optimal experience visit our site on another browser. Wisconsin Lt. Gov. An older poll, conducted last September by Clarity Campaign Labs for Barnes' campaign, showed the Democrat tied with Johnson. The margin of error was 4.2 percentage points overall and 4.5 percentage points among likely voters. Mandela Barnes. According to OpenSecrets, Johnson raised $31.5 million, spent $28 million, and had $3.5 million in cash on hand, as of October 19. Democrats had initially been hopeful that they could oust Johnson, who was increasingly defined by headlines over his statements on issues such as abortion, his perpetuation of dubious and unproven Covid treatments, and his ties to the Jan. 6 riot and fake elector plot to help throw the 2020 election to then-President Donald Trump. as well as other partner offers and accept our. U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson is increasing his lead over Lt. Gov. Johnson got a boost from voters'. Democrat Russ Feingold held the seat now occupied by Johnson from 1993 until he was defeated by the Republican in 2010. I want to thank my family and everyone who supported me and worked so hard to save this U.S. Senate seat. MIDTERM STUDY FINDS MAINSTREAM MEDIA GAVE REPUBLICANS 87% MORE NEGATIVE COVERAGE THAN DEMOCRATS. Tony Evers, 46 percent back Republican challenger Tim Michels, and 4 percent support independent Joan Belinger. Quotes displayed in real-time or delayed by at least 15 minutes. Both the Senate and gubernatorial races remain highly partisan. Barnes sought to portray himself as a stronger advocate of the state's working-class citizens. A new poll released Wednesday by Marquette University Law School shows 49 percent of voters support Johnson's reelection to a third term. Mandela Barnes cited a decade-old vote by Sen. Ron Johnson in favor of a balanced budget, but the best suggestion is cuts to law enforcement might have happened down the line as a. After midnight, the gap between Barnes and Johnson closed slightly and the audience in Neenah became less energetic. Mandela Barnes - Feb 1st, 2022 Re-election Bid Just the Latest Lie From Ron Johnson - A . In response, Johnson said he would like to see Wisconsin's 1849 abortion ban changed to allow exemptions for instances of rape and incest. Barnes appeared with Lasry and Godlewski as they made their announcements, praising their campaigns. Among the slightly larger sample of 802 registered voters, Johnson maintains 48% support versus Barnes' 45% support. In the new poll, registered Wisconsin voters said the issue they were most concerned about was inflation, followed by public schools, gun violence, abortion policy and crime. Barnes sought. Sen. Ron Johnson and Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes side by side. Johnson did not respond to the Pulse's request to participate in the questionnaire. Johnson has maintained a conservative voting record during his two terms in the. Caitlin Yilek is a politics reporter for CBS News Digital. Currently, Wisconsin voters cannot change laws by direct referendum. making false or misleading claims about the shots, Johnson has hired one of Wisconsin's 10 fake electors, most expensive election contests in the country, settle the abortion issue via a direct referendum, Bernie Sanders endorses Mandela Barnes for US Senate, Ron Johnson calls for annual approval of Social Security, Medicare funding, Democratic Lt. Gov. Why is there a long line of railcars parked on the tracks near Spooner? InWisconsin's Senate race between Republican Sen. Ron Johnson and Democratic Lt. Gov. THE HILL 1625 K STREET, NW SUITE 900 WASHINGTON DC 20006 | 202-628-8500 TEL | 202-628-8503 FAX. AP Photo/Mike Roemer, "We've looked very closely at the numbers," said Johnson. AP Photo/Mike Roemer. It's looking all but certain that Wisconsin Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes will be the Democratic opponent to take on the much-maligned Wisconsin Senator Ron Johnson in November. Tony Evers leads GOP challenger Tim Michels among likely voters 47% to 46%. S en. One percent of respondents said they would vote for neither candidate and 1% said they were undecided. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, The small margins indicate a tight race with the midterms just two weeks away. Lee said Johnson and Republican political action committees quickly launched attack ads aimed at Barnes painting him as a radical liberal that's out of touch with average Wisconsinites. Only 1 percent of likely voters are still undecided in the gubernatorial race, according to the poll, which surveyed 652 likely voters in Wisconsin from Oct. 3 to Oct. 9 and has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 4.8 percentage points. Tony Evers 50% to 47%, the AARP Wisconsin . While Johnson has outperformed . That was still the case in the law school's final pre-election poll, which found 43 percent of those surveyed had a favorable opinion of Johnson and 46 percent had an unfavorable view. Lt. Gov. This race is over.. The poll from Marquette Law School suggests Johnson, a two-term incumbent, is leading Barnes, the states lieutenant governor, among likely voters by 6 percentage points 52% to 46%. Johnson won his first Senate race in 2010, unseating Democratic Sen. Russ Feingold. At the beginning of the election cycle, Johnson was seen as one of the most vulnerable Republican incumbents in the U.S. Senate. The Marquette poll found that more voters had a favorable opinion of him than not, but 30 percent said they haven't heard enough about Barnes. "So, I think that's what I'm watching most.". IE 11 is not supported. Senator Ron Johnson 's support appears to be slipping with Wisconsin voters entering the closing months of the state's midterm elections, a new poll says. 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